Art Berman- The Real Energy Paradigm

The Real Energy Paradigm
The world thinks it’s in an energy crisis today and indeed there are shortages in some places but the world is undergoing an energy crisis more fundamental than the simple shortage happening today in Europe. A shortage can be remedied.
The larger problem is that oil use began to decline from 48% of total world energy consumption after 1977. This was the beginning of the end of the oil age. Per-capita oil consumption has been flat since since 1985). That means that individual worker productivity is not growing as it did before the oil shocks
The world thinks that an energy transition is underway but fails to understand that transitions are additive. The relative percent of fuels changes but volumes rarely decrease. There is little chance that this transition will take 30 years instead of the century or longer period for earlier transitions.
The real crisis today is the economic expression of the reality that energy is the economy. As living standards fall, mass immigration and civil unrest will probably increase. The oil age has been ending for 50 years but there is no substitute for oil. Wind, solar and nuclear only address electric power generation which accounts for only 18% of world energy consumption. Even if we could magically transform 100% of electric power to non-fossil energy sources, this would not address the other 82% of energy use that society needs.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zVhM9F3UNZY